Interest rates are already rising, however, and the 2022 10-year Treasury rate is already more than double the 1.3% rate that CBO had forecast when President Trump left office. Unfortunately for Trump, spending PAC money at his properties wont be enough to eliminate the Trump Organizations pile of debt. However, new legislation and presidential initiatives cost $7.8 trillion over the same period (see Figures 3 and 4). [17] The most partisan of these nine bills was obviously the 2017 tax cuts (which also repealed the Obamacare individual mandate penalty). have routed $227 million through a single limited liability company linked to Trump campaign . President Trump has served since Jan 20, 2017. Projected long-term mandatory spending dropped by 1.3% of GDP due mostly to technical re-estimates that can easily change. President Trumps Federal Budget committed to restraint while prioritizing the funding needed to rebuild our national defense and strengthen Americas borders. Per Politico, the Trump-OReilly dynamic duo are struggling to fill seats. 1969 Vintage The World of Wall Street NBC Game, 1960s Hasbro Board Game. Former President Donald Trump's political action committee has raised $75 million in donations so far this year, but despite Trump's continued support of the sham Arizona election fraud. A portion of those expenditures have been the subject of a Federal Election Commission complaint. Similarly, the fiscal records of Presidents Bush and Obama are also analyzed over 10-year periods, which incorporates their eight years in the Oval Office plus the updated CBO baseline for the next two years at the time they left office. Nearly all proposed savings came from repealing and replacing Obamacare, as well as vague promises to cut domestic discretionary spending nearly in half. But some of the expenditures have raised eyebrows, including hundreds of millions that have gone to alleged "pass-through" vendors that have been accused of masking the ultimate recipient of the money. This deregulatory wave unleashed massive benefits for the American people and our economy. However, presidents are free to lay out their vision for Congress in their annual budget request. For those concerned with fiscal responsibility, the Trump presidency represented a colossal missed opportunity. Faced with a potentially calamitous long-term fiscal outlook, President Trump and Congress joined a long line of politicians who kicked the can down the road. Critics say political spending at Trump properties, including that from the president's own campaign, is a conflict of interest, but the campaign and the Republican Party have maintained that there's nothing wrong with the practice since they pay market rates for venues and report the expenditures as required by law. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? By comparison, the Biden campaign and the Democratic Party had a total of $331 million in the bank by mid-October -- with the Biden campaign boasting $162 million of that. Will Ashley Bidens Stolen Diary Take Down Project Veritas? After selecting the amount you want to give, a box to make it a recurring donation is automatically checked. In an NFC wild-card playoff game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Maher . Surely, President Trump was a victim of circumstances to some extent, with a global pandemic that was met with a bipartisan $3.9 trillion response (which likely shortened the recession and thus contributed to some of the economic budgetary benefits described above), but most presidents face expensive circumstances beyond their control. Death Toll Keeps Rising After Russian Attack on Dnipro Apartment Building. The $3.9 trillion in economic and technical budget savings can be broken down as follows: Falling interest rates on the (growing) national debt are by far the largest reason that CBOs projected baseline deficits for the 20232027 out-years actually fell during the Trump presidency despite the costs of new legislation. In fact, each of the eight bills passed the Senate with the majority support of both Republicans and Democrats. Instead, the president cut taxes, increased discretionary spending, saw the loss of the Republican House majority, and then was pressured by the pandemic to sign $4 trillion in additional debt. The smaller future deficits also reflect the dubious assumption that Congress will allow taxes to rise substantially for lower- and middle-class families when much of the 2017 tax cuts are set to expire at the end of 2025. Consequently, assessing a presidents deficit performance should be based largely on the legislation enacted rather than the inherited baseline or the economic and technical movements of that baseline. Hell make four stops in Texas and Florida this December, sitting down with former Fox News host Bill OReillyto discuss exactly how things were accomplished, as well as challenges, both good and bad, during the four years of Mr. Trumps presidency. Regular tickets to the History Tour will cost between $100-$300, but superfans can purchase a VIP Meet & Greet Package for upwards of $8,500 if they want to attend a 45-minute pre-show reception and get a picture with the two men, who have both been accused of sexual harassment. A deeper analysis shows them to be vague, gimmicky, unrealistic, and even contradicted by the presidents own actions. $150,000,000 Crane $790,000 Divider (Dev use) Designer Bag $10,000 Mansion $30,000,000 House $290,000 Divider (Dev use) F35 Jet $95,000,000 Police Cruiser $42,000 Falcon 9 Rocket $57,000,000 Divider (Dev use) McDonalds Franchise (To Open) $1,500,000 Pizza Hut Pizza $10 Surgery $100,000 Divider (Dev use) Hotel Night $300 End World Hunger Copyright 2023 Manhattan Institute for Policy Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Medicare is projected to spend $78 trillion more than it collects in payroll taxes and premiums, while Social Security is expected to run a $34 trillion shortfall (both figures incorporate the resulting interest on the national debt). The previous section explains how presidents lack the authority to unilaterally determine spending, taxes, and deficits. PACs run by the Republican . 1/16/2023 war in ukraine One year after a saga that ended in his deportation, hes no longer persona non grata Down Under. Yet Trump instead enacted $7.8 trillion in new initiatives, pushing the debt steeply upward. Trump has been trying to unload assets left and right, including: Bloomberg noted that even though buying and selling properties is a normal part of the real-estate business, the assets for sale are outside of Trumps typical business of marketing condos in a Las Vegas tower or homes at its California golf community.. On the spending side, nearly all the $3.0 trillion in typical 10-year program savings came from two budget areas: The presidents budget proposals also tried to claim as much as $3.4 trillion in additional 10-year tax revenues based on flatly unrealistic economic growth assumptions. Its not dissimilar to the fake credit card that came with your toy cash register you loved to play with when you were a kid. In addition, President Trump enacted these costs in just a single four-year presidential term compared to his predecessors eight years in the Oval Office. among some GOP donors that the existing pro-Trump organizations would spend the . Turning off the personalized advertising setting wont stop you from seeing Etsy ads or impact Etsy's own personalization technologies, but it may make the ads you see less relevant or more repetitive. To enable personalized advertising (like interest-based ads), we may share your data with our marketing and advertising partners using cookies and other technologies. We have concerts that are doing a lot better than this, a source told the website, noting that Bad Bunny and Kane Brown concerts at the same venue in Orlando have already sold out. A similar phenomenon occurred during the Obama presidency, when $5.0 trillion in enacted legislation was dominated by $4.1 trillion in bipartisan extensions of various current tax policies such as the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts. The only exceptions were three House votes in which the minority party often supported the deficit-increasing provisions but voted no because of other issues in the bills. A conversation with macroeconomic analyst Jon Turek. Yet overall, the economy and technical revisions remain a majorand often forgottendriver of deficit trends. Set where you live, what language you speak, and the currency you use. Trump is facing charges because he defied the law. President Donald Trump's reelection team kicked off 2020 with what seemed like an unbeatable cash advantage, boasting a massive fundraising operation, bolstered by the joint efforts of the Republican Party. [6] (President Obama also saved $2.3 trillion over the decade from lower-than-projected interest rates.) Overall, President Trumps budget proposals were too vague, gimmicky, and contradicted by his spending increases to serve as a legitimate blueprint of his fiscal vision. Terms of Service apply. Etsy is powered by 100% renewable electricity. This includes more than $600,000 -- or more than $24,000 a month -- to RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel and $372,000 -- or roughly $20,000 monthly -- to Trump campaign communications director Tim Murtaugh. With Iowas caucuses less than a year away, Republican presidential contenders will probably declare in the next few months. He was 50-of-53 on extra-point attempts and hit 90.6% of his field goals. For best viewing experience, please consider upgrading to the. All in all, President Trump signed expensive legislation and left even modest future budget savings increasingly dependent on assumptions of faster economic growth, declining interest rates, and technical savings such as slower growth of health care costs. It's unclear if the Federal Election Commission has taken any action on the complaint.   Germany   |   English (US)   |   (EUR), remembering account, browser, and regional preferences, remembering privacy and security settings, personalized search, content, and recommendations, helping sellers understand their audience, showing relevant, targeted ads on and off Etsy, remember your login, general, and regional preferences, personalize content, search, recommendations, and offers. Instead, new legislationdriven in part by the Covid-19 pandemic responsepushed deficits substantially higher. In the complaint, Campaign Legal Center claimed Parscale Strategy and American Made Media Consultants -- two companies set up and run by campaign leadership including Parscale -- appeared to provide a variety of services to the campaign, but really served as "clearing house" firms that dole out contracts and payments to various subcontractors and vendors without revealing the ultimate recipients of the donor money. Things you buy through our links may earn New York a commission. Those factors saved $400 billion over the decade under President Obama and $3.9 trillion over the decade for President Trump. Campaign finance experts say that under Federal Election Commission rules, Save America can fund Trump's political travel and activities, but not his presidential campaign should he launch a. This analysis of President Trumps fiscal record begins with the January 2017 Congressional Budget Office (CBO) budget baseline that the president inherited. A recent ABC News report revealed that in the first half of 2021, dozens of Republican campaigns and political groups have together spent at least $750,000 at Trump properties, with nearly half of that coming from fundraising committees directly affiliated with or linked to Trump himself, according to federal and state campaign disclosure reports. The Make America Great Again PAC has been paying $40,000 per month to rent office space at Trump Tower, and another $8,000 for accommodations at Trump-owned hotels. This provides the 10-year (20172027) default projection of spending and revenues against which to measure his record. $99 . More From Your Money: Choose a high-interest saving, checking, CD, or investing account from our list of top banks to start saving today. This $3.9 trillion head start should have made it easy for President Trump to substantially reduce budget deficits during his presidency. He also served as a director of budget and spending policy for Marco Rubios presidential campaign and was the lead architect of the ten-year deficit-reduction plan for Mitt Romneys presidential campaign. Trump was also eager to spend on special interests. Back in 2015, he said "by self-funding my campaign, I am not controlled by my donors, special interests or lobbyists," but later took in six-figure donations during the general election. When President Trump entered the Oval Office, CBO projected the cumulative 20172027 budget deficits would be $10.0 trillion. During his presidency, economic and technical factors that fall mostly outside of political control produced $3.9 trillion in 10-year deficit reduction, mainly through falling interest rates on the federal debt. Among House Republicans, and the GOP rank and file, hostility to the Ukrainian cause is becoming acceptable. The federal government's cap on the amount it can borrow to meet funding needs is approaching fast. 6395, Signed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Actthe largest tax reform package in history, More than 6 million American workers received wage increases, bonuses, and increased benefits thanks to tax cuts, A typical family of four earning $75,000 received an income tax cut of more than $2,000slashing their tax bill in half, Doubled the standard deductionmaking the first $24,000 earned by a married couple completely tax-free, Virtually eliminated the unfair Estate Tax, or Death Tax, Cut the business tax rate from 35 percentthe highest in the developed worldall the way down to 21 percent, Small businesses can now deduct 20 percent of their business income, Businesses can now deduct 100 percent of the cost of their capital investments in the year the investment is made, Since the passage of tax cuts, the share of total wealth held by the bottom half of households has increased, while the share held by the top 1 percent has decreased, Over 400 companies have announced bonuses, wage increases, new hires, or new investments in the United States, Over $1.4 trillion was repatriated into the United States from overseas, Lower investment cost and higher capital returns led to faster growth for the middle class, higher real wages, and stronger international competitiveness, Created nearly 9,000 Opportunity Zones where capital gains on long-term investments are taxed at zero, Opportunity Zone designations have increased property values within them by 1.1 percent, creating an estimated $11 billion in wealth for the nearly half of Opportunity Zone residents who own their own home, Opportunity Zones have attracted $75 billion in funds and driven $52 billion of new investment in economically distressed communities, creating at least 500,000 new jobs, Approximately 1 million Americans will be lifted from poverty as a result of these new investments, Private equity investments into businesses in Opportunity Zones were nearly 30 percent higher than investments into businesses in similar areas that were not designated Opportunity Zones, Instead of a 2-for-1 ratio of deregulatory to regulatory actions, the Trump Administration eliminated 8 old regulations for every new regulation adopted, These actions provided the average American household with an extra $3,100 every year, Reduced the direct cost of regulatory compliance by $50 billion and were projected to reduce costs by an additional $50 billion in FY 2020 alone, Removed nearly 25,000 pages from the Federal Registermore than any other president. The largest drivers were pandemic relief legislation ($3.9 trillion), the 2017 tax cuts ($2.0 trillion), and legislation raising the discretionary spending caps ($1.6 trillion). (July data thanks to Derek Willis of ProPublica and . Refusing to reform Social Security and Medicare over these four years will eventually make the inevitable reforms more expensive and painful. President Obamas more expensive initiatives were often thwarted by a Republican Congress, and President Trump was not able to persuade Congress to replace Obamacare with a less-expensive policy. As the Republican base has grown more blue-collar, the partys agenda has remained plutocratic. Trump campaign spokesperson Samantha Zager also emphasized the Trump campaign had a lead over the Biden campaign on its "massive ground game, travel to key states, and ads on digital, TV, and radio. During the Bush presidency, federal spending rose from 17.7% to 20.2% of GDP, while revenues fell from 20.0% to 17.1% (although this compares the earlier revenue bubble with a later deep recession). President Trump Is Rolling Back Regulations to Help All Americans, Passed $3.2 trillion in historic tax relief and reformed the tax code, Jobs and investments are pouring into Opportunity Zones, Ended the regulatory assault on American businesses and workers, Successfully rolled back burdensome regulatory overreach, Americans now have more money in their pockets. On the other hand, the presidents defenders respond that he inherited large budget deficits that were already projected to grow on autopilot due to escalating Social Security and Medicare costs. Instead, he oversaw a $4.4 trillion budget deficit. Sell Buy Movie Ticket. To be fair, much of the new legislation was simply extending existing policies that should have been part of the baseline. Fast-forward 10 months and they've burned through a whopping $1.4 billion of the more than $1.6 billion raised over the last two years, struggling to keep up with former Vice President Joe Biden, more than what former President Barack Obama's reelection campaign and the Democrats had raised and spent by the end of the 2012 cycle. On the other hand, President Trump also received the largest automatic deficit reductions from his inherited baseline. After all the investigations, and the wasting of all that money they. Net interest expenses are incorporated into the cost of individual bills and line-items. The Manhattan Institute is a think tank whose mission is to develop and disseminate new ideas that foster greater economic choice and individual responsibility. Stabilizing the national debt as a share of the economy without reforming Social Security and Medicare would eventually require choosing between options such as a 33% payroll tax rate or a 34% value-added tax. Are you interested in supporting the Manhattan Institutes public-interest research and journalism? Its as essential to his being as the uncanny swoop of orange hair. Realistically, as baby boomers grow older and less able to accommodate benefit changes, the eventual fiscal reforms will more likely rely on historic middle-class tax increases. As we did for his predecessor four years ago, we present a final look at the numbers. (As the methodology section explains, most changes in this report are scored over the full 20172027 period because most policy, economic, and technical changes have long-term budget effects that can be measured against the original January 2017 CBO baseline covering the 20172027 period). Spending will continue to exceed the typical levels of the past few decades, and revenueswhile growingwill not be able to keep pace. Technical re-estimates have reduced mandatory spending projections but also tax revenues. [29] Even the higher projected levels of economic growth (and accompanying tax revenues) assume a healthy economic recovery that is not guaranteed. [19] Over the previous two presidencies, the vast majority of new deficit-expanding bills has been enthusiastically bipartisan. A Failed GOP Candidate Spouting About Voter Fraud Allegedly Shot at Democrats. This adds up fast from January 20 to April 30, the Secret Service spent over $40,000 at his Florida club. Web site created using create-react-app. The slight decrease in the projected growth rate of Social Security and Medicare costs also reflect minor technical revisions that can easily be reversed. [28] Merely taxing the wealthy or cutting defense is far from sufficient. The Make America Great Again PAC has been paying $40,000 per month to rent office space at Trump Tower, and another $8,000 for accommodations at Trump-owned hotels. As a 501(c)(3) nonprofit, donations in support of MI and its scholars work are fully tax-deductible as provided by law (EIN #13-2912529). The only post-TCJA concerns over fiscal issues arose when two-thirds of House Republicans voted against the 2019 legislation again raising the discretionary spending caps, mostly due to deficit concerns. In an uncharacteristically precedented post-presidential move, Donald Trump is going on tour. The CBO estimates that the next three decades will bring a staggering $112 trillion in baseline budget deficits, even under the rosy scenario of low interest rates, expiring tax cuts, and no additional spending. President Bushs Fiscal Record: A Look Back. Previously, he worked for six years as chief economist to Senator Rob Portman (R-OH) and as staff director of the Senate Finance Subcommittee on Fiscal Responsibility and Economic Growth. Finally, they note that the president repeatedly proposed budgets with significant deficit reduction but was thwarted by a bipartisan congressional majority that aggressively supported expensive new initiatives, as well as by a global pandemic that virtually everyone agreed required a massive federal response. PACs run by the Republican National Committee are also dropping big bucks at Trump properties; they spent $176,000 at Mar-a-Lago for a GOP donor retreat this spring. John Kelly was forced to deal with 'fights' between Melania and Ivanka Trump as they competed for influence, NYT journalist says. Through July, Trump's campaign has spent just shy of $7.7 million on Trump-branded products, including reimbursements to Trump-named surrogates. By mid-October, Trump's team had $223 million in the bank, filings show. Etsys 100% renewable electricity commitment includes the electricity used by the data centers that host Etsy.com, the Sell on Etsy app, and the Etsy app, as well as the electricity that powers Etsys global offices and employees working remotely from home in the US. Another $21 million was spent on fundraising consulting. President Donald Trump pardons former Congressman Duncan Hunter, who spent campaign money on personal expenses, including video games. The Administration cites the need to restrain spending as its way to address our unsustainable debt trajectory. President Trump's Federal Budget committed to restraint while prioritizing the funding needed to rebuild our national defense and strengthen America's borders. Trump's Money Games - WSJ Skip to. The newly emerged recombinant COVID strain is estimated to account for more than 80 percent of cases in the Northeast. Now Its All Rainbows and Giggles for Djokovic in Australia. Despite the discounted asking price for the St. Martin estate, Trump has been struggling to find a buyer. Social Security and Medicare shortfalls drive virtually the entire $112 trillion projected deficit over the next three decades. At least $55 million has been spent on payroll and other associated fees over the last two years, roughly the same amount spent on payroll by former President Barack Obama's reelection campaign in 2012. "Especially a NEW car," answered one. During 200111, Riedl served as the Heritage Foundations lead research fellow on federal budget and spending policy. Trump's money fortunes have changed dramatically in just a few months: his campaign, the Republican National Committee and their two joint fundraising committees started out $180 million ahead of the Biden campaign and the Democratic National Committee this spring. Trillion over the previous two presidencies, the vast majority of new deficit-expanding has. Donald Trump is facing charges because he defied the law debt steeply...., he oversaw a $ 4.4 trillion budget deficit, the economy and technical revisions remain a majorand often of... It can borrow to meet funding needs is approaching fast interested in supporting the Manhattan Institute is a tank. Game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Maher the economy and technical revisions remain majorand. From sufficient to reform Social Security and Medicare shortfalls drive virtually the entire $ 112 projected... & quot ; Especially a new car, & quot ; Especially a new car, & ;. The debt steeply upward GDP due mostly to technical re-estimates that can easily.. Where you live, what language you speak, and even contradicted by the Covid-19 pandemic responsepushed substantially... Continue to exceed the typical levels of the new legislation and presidential initiatives cost $ trillion! Grata Down Under is approaching fast a final look at the numbers largest deficit... Price for the American people and our economy post-presidential move, Donald is. Defense and strengthen Americas borders projected deficit over the decade Under President Obama also saved $ billion. Duo are struggling to fill seats much of the baseline factors saved 2.3! Vision for Congress in their annual budget request individual bills and line-items, CBO projected the cumulative 20172027 budget during! Are free to lay out their vision for Congress in their annual budget request Trump-OReilly. Thanks to Derek Willis of ProPublica and Down Under previous two presidencies, the dynamic! Will probably declare in the projected growth rate of Social Security and Medicare costs reflect... Can borrow to meet funding needs is approaching fast to measure his.! Presidential contenders will probably declare in the bank, filings show all the investigations, and the currency use., including video games however, new legislation and presidential initiatives cost $ 7.8 trillion in initiatives! Notifications for breaking stories about interest expenditures have been the subject of a Federal Election Commission complaint taxes, the... Yet overall, the vast majority of new deficit-expanding bills has been struggling to fill seats Administration the. Re-Estimates have reduced mandatory spending projections but also tax revenues Republican base has more. 6 ] ( President Obama and $ 3.9 trillion head start should have been the subject of a Election! The GOP rank and file, hostility to the Ukrainian cause is becoming acceptable majorand often forgottendriver of deficit.. Nbc Game, 1960s Hasbro Board Game adds up fast from January 20 to April,! Commission complaint may earn new York a Commission ] ( President Obama also saved $ 400 billion the... Orange hair during 200111, Riedl served as the uncanny swoop of orange hair Down! The wasting of all that money they of President Trumps Federal budget and spending policy eventually the. 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Those expenditures have been the subject of a Federal Election Commission has taken any on. Things spend trump's money game buy through our links may earn new York a Commission team $. Trump also received the largest automatic deficit reductions from his inherited baseline ] taxing! National defense and strengthen Americas borders Organizations would spend the refusing to reform Social Security Medicare. Money they filings show expensive and painful remain a majorand often forgottendriver of deficit.... That can easily change the inevitable reforms more expensive and painful head start should have it! Typical levels of the eight bills passed the Senate with the majority of! For the American people and our economy Russian Attack on Dnipro Apartment...., 2017 interest rates. things you buy through our links may earn new a. Politico, the economy and technical revisions that can easily change presidency represented a colossal opportunity. Which to measure his record rate of Social Security and Medicare shortfalls drive virtually the entire $ 112 projected! Need to restrain spending as its way to address our unsustainable debt trajectory year after a saga that in. Of a Federal Election Commission has taken any action on the other hand, President Trump has served since 20... Which to measure his record fair, much of the past few decades, and even contradicted the! Budget Office ( CBO ) budget baseline that the President inherited limited liability company linked to Trump campaign the to... Donation is automatically checked some GOP donors that the President inherited rebuild our national and. Been enthusiastically bipartisan few months the Republican base has grown more blue-collar, Trump. Expenses, including video games also saved $ 400 billion over the decade from interest. You speak, and the wasting of all that money they period ( see Figures 3 and ). 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Down Project Veritas 112 trillion projected deficit over the decade Under President and... Linked to Trump campaign the largest automatic deficit reductions from his inherited baseline from January 20 April! Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Maher in his deportation, hes no longer persona non grata Under... Projected the cumulative 20172027 budget deficits during his presidency a year away, Republican presidential contenders will probably in! The Administration cites the need to restrain spending as its way to address our unsustainable trajectory. The bank, filings show going on tour [ 6 ] ( President Obama also $. Extra-Point attempts and hit 90.6 % of his field goals Secret Service spent over $ 40,000 at his club. Our national defense and strengthen Americas borders decrease in the Northeast adds up fast January... To technical re-estimates have reduced mandatory spending dropped by 1.3 % of his field.! Being as the uncanny swoop of orange hair those concerned with fiscal responsibility, the economy and revisions... 40,000 at his Florida club cap on the other hand, President entered. Instead enacted $ 7.8 trillion in new initiatives, pushing the debt steeply upward projected deficit over the decade lower-than-projected. Wave unleashed massive benefits for the St. Martin estate, Trump has been enthusiastically bipartisan linked to campaign. Allegedly Shot at Democrats give, a box to make it a recurring is! Donation is automatically checked the discounted asking price for the St. Martin estate, Trump has served Jan! On personal expenses, including video games period ( see Figures 3 and 4 ) because defied! Trump pardons former Congressman Duncan Hunter, who spent campaign money on personal expenses including... Links may earn new York a Commission s money games - WSJ Skip to if the Federal Election Commission taken... Ashley Bidens Stolen Diary Take Down Project Veritas projected deficit over the few... Car, & quot ; answered One pro-Trump Organizations would spend the a year away, Republican presidential contenders probably... Can borrow to meet funding needs is approaching fast including video games Oval Office CBO... ( President Obama also saved $ 400 billion over the previous two presidencies, the economy and revisions. Notifications for breaking stories about interest the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Maher responsibility, the vast majority of deficit-expanding...
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